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Wednesday, April 20, 2016

Dutchsinse and the Complex Geology of the Earth


Earthquakes and Volcanoes happen all the time. Right? The Earth is so big and one quake in Japan, or even two, are not related to a quake in Ecuador, right? Seismic shaking near but not AT a volcano is mere coincidence. The observation of a volcano which is venting steam stopping for a few hours after a large nearby earthquake then resuming is nothing to be concerned about. At least this is what the USGS and several highly regarded academics are wont to say.

This is precisely what those people had to say after the Ecuador earthquake on April 16, 2016. Their contention is the distance between Japan and South America is too great for the forces of one side to cause the other is far too great and the possibilities so remote as to be mere coincidence.

One man who has been watching the USGS earthquake feed for years has observes many relationships among the seemingly isolated seismic events around the world. Dutchsinse has been highly criticized for reporting his observations and posting his research "as it develops." The academics on the other hand spend their time collecting the data and holding it until they have a publishable body of evidence and a peer reviewed paper which represents their career work. They cannot afford to be wrong nor ever present a conclusion which doesn't prove out to be completely true. However, that is what happens on a regular basis.

The attitude of NIH (not invented here) prevails in academia as well as in industries where the companies don't appreciate someone else telling them their business – hence the Edsel automobile. Dutchsinse is in direct competition with men and women who have staked their entire research careers on the hypothesis they first propose then go on to prove by selecting evidence which supports it and rejecting evidence which does not. Dutchsinse publishes the data and his interpretations for the public at large to "peer review." His learned watch list is not not prophesy nor sensationalism like many conspiracy websites. He has developed and expanded on concepts which explain what is observed by others while not running against other people's observations and research.

 John Tuzo Wilson a Canadian geophysicist and geologist was instrumental in the development of the concept of Plate-tectonics and continental drift. While he as an adult was publishing "Cabot Fault, An Appalachian Equivalent of the San Andreas and Great Glen Faults and some Implications for Continental Displacement" in 1962, I as a 5th grader was telling my geography teacher that all the continents seemed to me to have been fit together. I even cut up a flat map to show what I meant. She told me it was impossible because God made the Earth the way it was. I was ridiculed and dismissed. My parents confronted her and only got the satisfaction of having gone through the exercise of trying. She had 2000 years of faith on HER side. I had no academic backup to "my theory" because I was only 11 years old and had not read any of the university papers. A note of satisfaction comes from the fact that people such as J. Wilson were similarly chastised by their learned peers in the early days of shedding light on how the continents got to be where they were and how they looked.

The assertions of there being only mere coincidence between earthquakes taking place on opposites sides of the Pacific is short sighted and dangerous. While the proximity in time of large quakes in undeniable, their proximity of cause is far less evident. There certainly is some cause and effect relationship even if not significant enough for academics to see and measure. The denial of such cause and effect relationships neglects the fact that both are caused by the SAME cause, i.e. tectonic forces in the crust and asthenosphere. Even if there is zero cause and effect, there is a common cause. The Japan and Ecuador locations were merely the latest "weakest" spots to rupture.

There are undeniable forces inside the Earth and we need to be watching for their evidence without the veil of preconception. To not be observant and act to minimize the peril to people invites the  Principle of Imminent Collapse where it only takes a Nudge to make the system fail.

Thursday, March 3, 2016

Time Travel and the Presidency of Donald Trump

Walker Percy wrote Lost in the Cosmos to be the "last self-help book you would ever need." In it he spoke of the person, people, who launch into the stratosphere and remain in orbit until they manage to make re-entry. I think maybe Donald Trump and a myriad of followers have taken that course. He could become the next President of the US.

I once posited a time-travel scenario that could explain a few political realities most rational thinking human beings have pondered for many years now. This is how it goes.

Either time travel is not possible or time travel is possible. No vagueness there. If time travel is not possible then you can stop reading now. If it is possible, then our future selves will use it. Indeed they may have been using it for a long time. They would choose to use it wisely in order to not screw up their timeline and make their world a worse place to be.

They would have the benefit of 20/20 hindsight, or so one might think. They would know about when the world went terribly wrong and be able to deduce when the fubar took place. They would also have multiple tries at getting it right, sort of like Groundhog Day the movie. Well anyway. They would go into their past and make little changes to the time line to effectuate the outcome they want. Any changes they make would be only what we had ever seen and knew so WE would be totally unawares.

Now consider this. The final outcome of the 2000 Presidential election rested on one or two goofy precincts in Florida and maybe one in Ohio. A few hundred ballots ruled either valid or invalid turned the outcome from President Al Gore into President George W. Bush. The complexion of the Supreme Court decided the final outcome.

Here's the intrigue. Our future selves saw the outcome of President Gore, whatever that might have been and decided that President Bush would do what needed to be done, whatever that was. Who am I kidding, we saw what he and his Administration did. But. But was that the lesser of evils? Only they would know. But now that they made the change, they don't know either.

If time travel is possible, and 8 years of Bush was the preferred outcome, I shudder to think what President Gore might have wrought. The scenario doesn't stop there. If the easy swap of a few ballots produced a worse outcome, one with which our future selves could not live, they would have fixed it and we would never have known. Therefore, the Bush Presidency was the better outcome.

Now I have to think about this. Maybe, just maybe, we needed 8 years of George W. Bush in order to get 8 years of Barack Obama. Certainly the Bush Administration directly led to the attitudes of the electorate and their voting for the first African American president in this nation's history. By my same logic about future people knowing the outcomes of decisions of today, President Barack Obama is (was) the preferred choice, not Mitt Romney.

Going one step further, if Donald J. Trump becomes President, it will be the preferred outcome of a world who knows the outcomes of each possible president. Alternatively, time travel is not possible and that scares me the most. It is either that or the world is so screwed up in the future that they think the paths we are on now are the correct ones – whatever that path is. Finally, Maybe we need to have President Trump in order to create what is next after him. Again I shudder.



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Author's Note: The book cover images in the side margins of this blog are my own publications of eBooks available at both Amazon and B&N. Please take a moment and go to the sites and read about them. Then if you like it, buy one or two.